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Neighborhood · Miami Beach, FL

South Beach Eviction Risk: Elevated

6 census tracts · pop 17,577 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.1/10 · range 4.5–7.3

South Beach spans 6 census tracts of Miami Beach, FL, population 17,577. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.1/10, in the Elevated tier. 56% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Miami Beach rate of 35.7%.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. 30% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The 6 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 4.5 to 7.3, a 2.8-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.6/10.

Filings are well documented here: 389 across 6 observed tracts. The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Filing activity peaked in 2016 at 4.7% of renter households. Judgments average 0.8% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

For a like-for-like read, Española Way and North Beach score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 7.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 6.1 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
6 tracts · population-weighted
South Beach vs Miami Beach How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.5% +55%
Miami Beach: 35.7%
Average gross rent
$1,830 +0%
Miami Beach: $1,826
Average HH income
$79,463 +19%
Miami Beach: $67,014
Poverty rate
16.6% +15%
Miami Beach: 14.4%
Renter share
62.2% +5%
Miami Beach: 59.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Beach and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 4.5–7.3

Why South Beach scores 6.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.8–5.8 across tracts
5.8
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.2–1.2 across tracts
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
62% renter households · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts
9.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Economic stress
16.6% below poverty line · Range 1.1–8.8 across tracts
4.2
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–10.0 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

South Beach vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Beach score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.1South BeachNeighborhood5.9Parent cityhost city3.9Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in South Beach?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.8 points from 4.5 to 7.3. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

6 tracts in South Beach

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12086004404 7.3 2,127 44% $1,274
12086004405 7.2 3,427 72% $1,548
12086004403 6.7 2,977 62% $1,693
12086004500 5.6 4,156 53% $1,240
12086004406 5.5 2,417 50% $2,195
12086004102 4.5 2,473 44% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 75

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 69%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 48%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 85%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in South Beach

Aggregated across 6 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 389Total filings (sum)
  • 2.76%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.7%Peak year (2016)
  • 2.48%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 805Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.8Avg monthly observed
  • 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.98×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami).

Frequently asked

About South Beach

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Beach?

South Beach scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Beach compare to Miami Beach overall?

South Beach scores 0.2 points higher than Miami Beach overall (5.9/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,830 vs $1,826.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Beach?

Average gross rent in South Beach is $1,830/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Beach residents are renters?

62% of South Beach households are renter-occupied (vs 59% in Miami Beach). The neighborhood has 17,577 residents.
Q5

Is South Beach a high social-vulnerability area?

South Beach sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in South Beach have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Beach is census tract 12086004404 (score 7.3/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 7.3, a spread of 2.8 points.
Q7

How safe is South Beach for landlords?

South Beach carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.1/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Miami Beach as a whole (5.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of South Beach?

South Beach has 16,932 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (47%), White (non-Hispanic) (44.1%), Other / Multiracial (3.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Beach

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Miami Beach

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Beach.

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