Within neighborhood
43
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Dinner Key Eviction Risk: Moderate , Miami
Tract 12086007103 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,079 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
12086007103 is a census tract in the Dinner Key area of Miami, FL. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,079. Against Miami-Dade County at 57.9%, 35% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,201
Renter share51.5%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate22.6%
Median income$128,309
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
29
th percentile
Low
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami and the region
Centroid at 25.7296, -80.2421 · click any tract to drill in
Why Dinner Key scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.6% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$2,169 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0
How Dinner Key compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 42%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 54%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 11Total filings over 2 yrs
- 1.18%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.5%Peak (2015)
- 3Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 14Total filings 2020-21
- 0.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.74×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Dinner Key. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Dinner Key
The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10.
Average gross rent is $2,169, 23% above the Miami average. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
12% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 11 filings here across 2 tracked years.
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10. Filings peaked in 2015 at 1.5% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Miami. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.2% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086007103
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086007103?
Census tract 12086007103 in the Dinner Key neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086007103?
Median gross rent is $2,169/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086007103?
22.6% of residents in tract 12086007103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,079.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086007103?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 4th, minority 71th, housing 42th.
Q5
Is tract 12086007103 considered part of Dinner Key?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086007103 fall within Dinner Key (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086007103?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 11 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086007103 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.18% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12086007103 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.74× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12086007103 compare to Miami overall?
Tract 12086007103 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Miami at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12086007103 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami
Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Downtown Miami
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086001903
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Overtown
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Haiti
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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