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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Miami Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 12086003606 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,012 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 12086003606 covers part of the Downtown Miami area of Miami, FL, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,012 residents. Set annual rent against average income of $27,564 and the ratio lands at 49%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 70% Stable renters 30% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,316
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate33.5%
Median income$27,564

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 11 tracts In Downtown Miami
High
Within parent city
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#11 of 132 tracts In Miami
Very High
Within county
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#89 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#120 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Miami and the region

Centroid at 25.7754, -80.1994 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Miami scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
33.5% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$1,116 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0

How Downtown Miami compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Miami risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 003606Miami: 4.64.6Miamiparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 222Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.7Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.82×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (1.71× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.85× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.46× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (1.80× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 4 filings (2.19× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 3 filings (2.56× baseline)2021-10-01: 4 filings (3.42× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.55× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (1.80× baseline)2022-01-01: 6 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 2 filings (0.92× baseline)2022-03-01: 2 filings (2.41× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2022-06-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2022-07-01: 7 filings (3.83× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (2.56× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 4 filings (2.40× baseline)2023-01-01: 6 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 6 filings (2.76× baseline)2023-03-01: 4 filings (4.82× baseline)2023-04-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 5 filings (2.99× baseline)2023-06-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 7 filings (3.83× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 4 filings (3.42× baseline)2023-10-01: 3 filings (2.56× baseline)2023-11-01: 5 filings (2.73× baseline)2023-12-01: 4 filings (2.40× baseline)2024-01-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (0.46× baseline)2024-03-01: 3 filings (3.61× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-05-01: 3 filings (1.80× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 8 filings (4.37× baseline)2024-08-01: 7 filings (2.33× baseline)2024-09-01: 4 filings (3.42× baseline)2024-10-01: 9 filings (7.69× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (1.09× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (1.38× baseline)2025-03-01: 8 filings (9.64× baseline)2025-04-01: 7 filings (3.50× baseline)2025-05-01: 7 filings (4.19× baseline)2025-06-01: 7 filings (4.67× baseline)2025-07-01: 5 filings (2.73× baseline)2025-08-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 9 filings (7.69× baseline)2025-10-01: 2 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (0.55× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (1.20× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Miami. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Miami

100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Adults with no health insurance runs 34.0% against 11.3% nationally.

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. At $1,116 a month, rents run 37% under what the rest of Miami commands. 70% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Miami-Dade County average of 57.9%.

The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The poverty rate is 34%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, economic stress reads 8.4/10.

It sits 1.4 points above the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6. Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 9.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086003606

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086003606?

Census tract 12086003606 in the Downtown Miami neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086003606?

Median gross rent is $1,116/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086003606?

33.5% of residents in tract 12086003606 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,012.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086003606?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 91th, minority 90th, housing 86th.
Q5

Is tract 12086003606 considered part of Downtown Miami?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086003606 fall within Downtown Miami (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12086003606 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.82× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12086003606 compare to Miami overall?

Tract 12086003606 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Miami

Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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