Neighborhood · Miami, FL

Downtown Miami Eviction Risk: Moderate

11 census tracts · pop 23,773 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10 · range 2.7–6.3

Downtown Miami is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Miami with 11 census tracts and a population of 23,773 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 58% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,886/month sits 7% higher than the Miami citywide average ($1,758).

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

11 tracts · population-weighted

Downtown Miami vs Miami How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

58.0% +57%

Miami: 37.0%

Average gross rent

$1,886 +7%

Miami: $1,758

Average HH income

$65,651 +11%

Miami: $59,390

Poverty rate

20.8% +8%

Miami: 19.2%

Renter share

83.7% +21%

Miami: 69.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown Miami and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 11 tracts span score 2.7–6.3

Why Downtown Miami scores 4.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts

5.4

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

58% of income on rent · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts

2.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts

3.0

Tenant organizing strength

84% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts

5.0

Economic stress

20.8% below poverty line · Range 1.2–10.0 across tracts

5.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–7.1 across tracts

3.3

Risk score comparison

Downtown Miami vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Downtown Miami?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 3.6 points from 2.7 to 6.3. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

6.3 6.3 6.2 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.1 3.8 3.5 3.1 2.7

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

11 tracts in Downtown Miami

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12086005305	6.3	3,898	62%	$1,310
12086003605	6.3	2,773	65%	$1,352
12086003606	6.2	2,012	70%	$1,116
12086003603	4.7	1,676	58%	$1,380
12086003704	4.7	1,475	53%	$2,130
12086003604	4.6	2,847	61%	$1,641
12086003706	4.1	1,491	64%	$2,433
12086003708	3.8	1,094	68%	$2,808
12086003707	3.5	1,694	51%	$2,419
12086003705	3.1	1,746	58%	$2,683
12086003703	2.7	3,067	36%	$2,652

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 69

Pop-weighted across 11 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 71%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 43%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 88%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 77%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown Miami

Aggregated across 5 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

177Total filings (sum)
3.13%Avg annual filing rate
9.1%Peak year (2016)
2.53%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

3,067Total filings 2020-21
3.7Avg monthly observed
1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
6.94×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami).

Frequently asked

About Downtown Miami

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown Miami?

Downtown Miami scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 11 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Downtown Miami compare to Miami overall?

Downtown Miami scores 1.6 points higher than Miami overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $1,886 vs $1,758.

What is the average rent in Downtown Miami?

Average gross rent in Downtown Miami eviction risk is $1,886/month (pop-weighted across 11 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Downtown Miami residents are renters?

84% of Downtown Miami households are renter-occupied (vs 69% in Miami). The neighborhood has 23,773 residents.

Is Downtown Miami a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown Miami sits in the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Downtown Miami have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown Miami is census tract 12086005305 (score 6.3/10). Across the 11 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.7 to 6.3, a spread of 3.6 points.

How safe is Downtown Miami for landlords?

Downtown Miami eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 11 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Miami as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown Miami?

Downtown Miami has 23,787 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (69.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (16.8%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown Miami

3.7 Brickell 21 tracts · pop 54,752 5 Overtown 10 tracts · pop 40,401 5.2 Little Havana 26 tracts · pop 90,655 5.1 Wynwood 9 tracts · pop 39,119 3.8 Dinner Key 8 tracts · pop 23,204 4.4 South Beach 6 tracts · pop 17,577

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Miami

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown Miami.

5.1 Overtown 10 tracts · pop 40,401 5.2 Design District 2 tracts · pop 8,327 5.2 Wynwood 9 tracts · pop 39,119 5.3 Little Havana 26 tracts · pop 90,655 3.9 Oakland Grove 7 tracts · pop 32,778 3.8 Dinner Key 8 tracts · pop 23,204

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