Within neighborhood
70
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Miami Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12086003704 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 1,475 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 12086003704 in the Downtown Miami area of Miami, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units895
Renter share84.2%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate17.7%
Median income$61,311
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami and the region
Centroid at 25.7738, -80.1911 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Miami scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.7% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$2,130 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0
How Downtown Miami compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 70
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 22Total filings over 2 yrs
- 1.43%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.7%Peak (2015)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 99Total filings 2020-21
- 1.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.09×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Miami. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Miami
Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $61,311, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. This is renter territory: 84% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. At $2,130 a month, rents run 21% over what the rest of Miami commands. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.5% against 11.3% nationally.
Cost burden runs 53% here against 57.9% across Miami-Dade County. Court records carry 22 eviction filings across 2 observed years. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10.
The worst year on record was 2015, when 1.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086003704
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086003704?
Census tract 12086003704 in the Downtown Miami neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086003704?
Median gross rent is $2,130/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086003704?
17.7% of residents in tract 12086003704 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,475.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086003704?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 15th, minority 83th, housing 91th.
Q5
Is tract 12086003704 considered part of Downtown Miami?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086003704 fall within Downtown Miami (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086003704?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 22 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086003704 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.43% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12086003704 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.09× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12086003704 compare to Miami overall?
Tract 12086003704 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami
Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Little Haiti
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Haiti
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086005706
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Wynwood
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brickell
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Downtown Miami
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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