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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Miami Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12086003603 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 1,676 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

Census tract 12086003603 covers part of the Downtown Miami area of Miami, FL, and scores 5.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. 93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 54% Stable renters 39% Owners 7%
Tract context
Occupied units1,018
Renter share92.6%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$55,194

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 11 tracts In Downtown Miami
Elevated
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 132 tracts In Miami
Moderate
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#243 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Elevated
Within state
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#964 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Miami and the region

Centroid at 25.7753, -80.2053 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Miami scores 5.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,380 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0

How Downtown Miami compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Miami risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.15.1This tracttract 003603Miami: 4.64.6Miamiparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 296Total filings 2020-21
  • 4.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 1.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 3.36×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 3 filings (2.26× baseline)2020-02-01: 6 filings (35.29× baseline)2020-03-01: 3 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.85× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (1.49× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-08-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.37× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 4 filings (3.01× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 2 filings (1.71× baseline)2021-06-01: 4 filings (5.97× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (1.20× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 5 filings (2.50× baseline)2021-10-01: 3 filings (1.12× baseline)2021-11-01: 6 filings (4.51× baseline)2021-12-01: 5 filings (5.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 7 filings (5.26× baseline)2022-02-01: 11 filings (64.71× baseline)2022-03-01: 6 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 8 filings (6.84× baseline)2022-06-01: 5 filings (7.46× baseline)2022-07-01: 5 filings (6.02× baseline)2022-08-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 6 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 5 filings (1.87× baseline)2022-11-01: 7 filings (5.26× baseline)2022-12-01: 8 filings (8.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (1.50× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (5.88× baseline)2023-03-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (1.71× baseline)2023-06-01: 7 filings (10.45× baseline)2023-07-01: 8 filings (9.64× baseline)2023-08-01: 14 filings (14.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 10 filings (5.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 8 filings (3.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 10 filings (7.52× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 10 filings (7.52× baseline)2024-02-01: 2 filings (11.76× baseline)2024-03-01: 7 filings (4.67× baseline)2024-04-01: 4 filings (4.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (1.71× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (2.99× baseline)2024-07-01: 7 filings (8.43× baseline)2024-08-01: 8 filings (8.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-10-01: 5 filings (1.87× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (0.75× baseline)2025-02-01: 4 filings (23.53× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (1.71× baseline)2025-06-01: 7 filings (10.45× baseline)2025-07-01: 3 filings (3.61× baseline)2025-08-01: 6 filings (6.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 4 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-11-01: 3 filings (2.26× baseline)2025-12-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Miami. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Miami

Adults with no health insurance runs 31.9% against 11.3% nationally. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 2/10. At $1,380 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Miami commands. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Miami. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.0 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

58% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086003603

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086003603?

Census tract 12086003603 in the Downtown Miami neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086003603?

Median gross rent is $1,380/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086003603?

15.2% of residents in tract 12086003603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,676.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086003603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 55th, minority 88th, housing 95th.
Q5

Is tract 12086003603 considered part of Downtown Miami?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086003603 fall within Downtown Miami (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12086003603 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 3.36× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12086003603 compare to Miami overall?

Tract 12086003603 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 12086003603 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Miami

Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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