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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

The Willows Eviction Risk: Moderate , Pine Hills

Tract 12095012000 · Orange, FL · pop 9,109 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 12095012000 sits in the The Willows area of Pine Hills eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. It is home to 9,109 residents. The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 27% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units2,301
Renter share59.8%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate19.2%
Median income$54,163

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In The Willows
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 11 tracts In Pine Hills
Very High
Within county
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 267 tracts In Orange
Very High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#259 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pine Hills and the region

Centroid at 28.5690, -81.4437 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Willows scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pine Hills
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.2% poverty · this tract
4.8
Supply constraint
$1,462 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pine Hills
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pine Hills
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pine Hills
8.1

How The Willows compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Willows risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0120004.4Pine Hillsparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,064Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 14.81%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.3%Peak (2001)
  • 98Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12095012000
Filings dropped 22% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Willows. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Willows

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.6/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Set annual rent against average income of $54,163 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.

Against the Orange County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.1% against 11.3% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 1,064 evictions over 9 years of observation. Cost burden runs 55% here against 51.4% across Orange County. Filings peaked in 2001 at 19.3% of renter households.

In a typical year about 14.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 10/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095012000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095012000?

Census tract 12095012000 in the The Willows neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095012000?

Median gross rent is $1,462/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095012000?

19.2% of residents in tract 12095012000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,109.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095012000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 98th, minority 93th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 12095012000 considered part of The Willows?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095012000 fall within The Willows (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095012000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,064 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095012000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.81% of renter households, peaking at 19.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12095012000 compare to Pine Hills overall?

Tract 12095012000 scores 5.8/10, higher than the parent city of Pine Hills at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pine Hills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pine Hills

Top eight tracts in Pine Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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