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Neighborhood · Ranked #42,216 of 84,120 nationally

The Willows Eviction Risk: Moderate , Pine Hills

Tract 12095012100 · Orange, FL · pop 7,854 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

The The Willows neighborhood of Pine Hills anchors census tract 12095012100, which lands at $1/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 75% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 70% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,335 a month while the average household earns $43,597 a year, roughly 37% of income at the averages. About 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 18% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units2,358
Renter share60.7%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$43,597

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 3 tracts In The Willows
Moderate
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileBottomTop
#2 of 11 tracts In Pine Hills
Very High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileBottomTop
#12 of 267 tracts In Orange
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileBottomTop
#34 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Pine Hills and the region

Centroid at 28.5659, -81.4545 · click any tract to drill in

Why The Willows scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pine Hills
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,335 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pine Hills
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pine Hills
8.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pine Hills
8.1

How The Willows compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
The Willows risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 012100Pine Hills: 4.44.4Pine Hillsparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.13.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,562Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 16.83%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.9%Peak (2006)
  • 166Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120950121002000: 118 filings (12.22/100 renter HHs)2001: 121 filings (12.53/100 renter HHs)2002: 121 filings (12.53/100 renter HHs)2003: 151 filings (15.63/100 renter HHs)2004: 173 filings (17.91/100 renter HHs)2005: 250 filings (24.78/100 renter HHs)2006: 261 filings (25.87/100 renter HHs)2007: 201 filings (19.92/100 renter HHs)2016: 166 filings (10.10/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 41% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within The Willows. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in The Willows

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Pine Hills eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Orange County average of 5.2 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 1,562 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 16.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 25.9% of renter households in 2006.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095012100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095012100?

Census tract 12095012100 in the The Willows neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095012100?

Median gross rent is $1,335/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095012100?

19.9% of residents in tract 12095012100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,854.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095012100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 100th, minority 87th, housing 62th.

Q5

Is tract 12095012100 considered part of The Willows?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095012100 fall within The Willows (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095012100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,562 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095012100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.83% of renter households, peaking at 25.9% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

How does tract 12095012100 compare to Pine Hills overall?

Tract 12095012100 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Pine Hills at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pine Hills eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Pine Hills

Top eight tracts in Pine Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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