Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Alexander Ridge Eviction Risk: Lower , Winter Garden

Tract 12095017116 · Orange, FL · pop 8,122 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 12095017116 sits in the Alexander Ridge area of Winter Garden, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 8,122 residents. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.4/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 12% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,769
Renter share20.7%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$181,971

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Alexander Ridge
Moderate
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 7 tracts In Winter Garden
Low
Within county
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#198 of 267 tracts In Orange
Low
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Garden and the region

Centroid at 28.5269, -81.6272 · click any tract to drill in

Why Alexander Ridge scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Garden
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,913 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Garden
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Garden
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Garden
5.1

How Alexander Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Alexander Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0171164.0Winter Gardenparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Alexander Ridge

40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Orange County average of 51.4%. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

It sits 1.2 points below the Orange County average of 4.2. Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $181,971, annual rent is just 13%.

Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095017116

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095017116?

Census tract 12095017116 in the Alexander Ridge neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095017116?

Median gross rent is $1,913/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095017116?

5.5% of residents in tract 12095017116 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,122.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095017116?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 21th, minority 67th, housing 4th.
Q5

Is tract 12095017116 considered part of Alexander Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095017116 fall within Alexander Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 12095017116 compare to Winter Garden overall?

Tract 12095017116 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Winter Garden at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Garden; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Garden

Top eight tracts in Winter Garden ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related