Winter Garden Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 36.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,672, 36% above the Winter Garden average.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.6/10. The severe-burden share is 19%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Against the Orange County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.