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Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Winter Garden Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12095017301 · Orange, FL · pop 2,692 · 77% of tract blocks fall in Winter Garden

12095017301 is a census tract in Winter Garden, FL. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,692. At $1,138 a month, rents run 42% under what the rest of Winter Garden commands.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 23% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,184
Renter share37.9%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate4.0%
Median income$69,779

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Winter Garden
Elevated
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#161 of 267 tracts In Orange
Low
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#3,121 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#59,654 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winter Garden and the region

Centroid at 28.5685, -81.6018 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winter Garden scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winter Garden
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
4.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,138 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Garden
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Garden
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Garden
5.1

How Winter Garden compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winter Garden risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 0173014.0Winter Gardenparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winter Garden

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. 40% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Orange County average of 51.4%.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. Severe burden reaches 10%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

It sits 0.8 points below the Orange County average of 4.2. On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $69,779.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095017301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095017301?

Census tract 12095017301 in Winter Garden scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095017301?

Median gross rent is $1,138/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 40% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095017301?

4.0% of residents in tract 12095017301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,692.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095017301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 24th, minority 43th, housing 69th.
Q5

How does tract 12095017301 compare to Winter Garden overall?

Tract 12095017301 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Winter Garden at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Garden; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winter Garden

Top eight tracts in Winter Garden ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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