Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #39,389 of 84,120 nationally
Winter Garden Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12095017402 · Orange, FL · pop 6,472 · 62% of tract blocks fall in Winter Garden
For landlords sizing up Winter Garden, census tract 12095017402 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. That is riskier than about 54% of US census tracts.
About 58% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 40% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,308 monthly, set against $51,774 in average yearly household income, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 47% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,705
Renter share47.1%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate21.2%
Median income$51,774
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
National
53
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winter Garden and the region
Centroid at 28.5570, -81.5699 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winter Garden scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winter Garden
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.2% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,308 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Garden
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Garden
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Garden
5.1
How Winter Garden compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winter Garden
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 6.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winter Garden, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Orange County average of 5.2 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Black and White and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12095017402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095017402?
Census tract 12095017402 in Winter Garden scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12095017402?
Median gross rent is $1,308/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12095017402?
21.2% of residents in tract 12095017402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,472.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12095017402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 81th, minority 77th, housing 81th.
Q5
How does tract 12095017402 compare to Winter Garden overall?
Tract 12095017402 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Garden at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Garden; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winter Garden
Top eight tracts in Winter Garden ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Related