Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Winter Garden Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12095017402 · Orange, FL · pop 6,472 · 62% of tract blocks fall in Winter Garden
12095017402 is a census tract in Winter Garden, FL. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,472. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,705
Renter share47.1%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate21.2%
Median income$51,774
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
National
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Winter Garden and the region
Centroid at 28.5570, -81.5699 · click any tract to drill in
Why Winter Garden scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Winter Garden
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.2% poverty · this tract
5.3
Supply constraint
$1,308 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winter Garden
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winter Garden
6.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winter Garden
5.1
How Winter Garden compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 81%Household composition
- 77%Racial/ethnic minority
- 81%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Winter Garden
At $1,308 a month, rents run 33% under what the rest of Winter Garden commands. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.4/10.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 27.1% against 11.3% nationally.
On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. Cost burden runs 58% here against 51.4% across Orange County. It sits 1.2 points above the Orange County average of 4.2.
The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 9.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12095017402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095017402?
Census tract 12095017402 in Winter Garden scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12095017402?
Median gross rent is $1,308/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12095017402?
21.2% of residents in tract 12095017402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,472.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12095017402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 81th, minority 77th, housing 81th.
Q5
How does tract 12095017402 compare to Winter Garden overall?
Tract 12095017402 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Winter Garden at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winter Garden; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Winter Garden
Top eight tracts in Winter Garden ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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