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Census Tract · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally

Four Corners Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105012405 · Polk, FL · pop 9,464

Census tract 12105012405 covers part of Four Corners, FL, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 9,464. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 15% Owners 59%
Tract context
Occupied units3,864
Renter share40.8%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$77,100

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 12 tracts In Four Corners
Elevated
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#70 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#2,265 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#48,956 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Four Corners and the region

Centroid at 28.2500, -81.6533 · click any tract to drill in

Why Four Corners scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Four Corners
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$2,119 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Four Corners
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Four Corners
8.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Four Corners
6.5

How Four Corners compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Four Corners risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 012405Four Corners: 4.34.3Four Cornersparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 573Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 14.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.7%Peak (2013)
  • 42Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050124052000: 4 filings (7.84/100 renter HHs)2001: 10 filings (19.61/100 renter HHs)2002: 21 filings (41.18/100 renter HHs)2003: 12 filings (23.53/100 renter HHs)2004: 17 filings (33.34/100 renter HHs)2005: 25 filings (9.49/100 renter HHs)2007: 29 filings (11.01/100 renter HHs)2008: 32 filings (12.15/100 renter HHs)2009: 41 filings (15.57/100 renter HHs)2010: 39 filings (13.36/100 renter HHs)2011: 46 filings (8.04/100 renter HHs)2012: 58 filings (10.14/100 renter HHs)2013: 67 filings (11.71/100 renter HHs)2014: 34 filings (5.94/100 renter HHs)2015: 46 filings (8.04/100 renter HHs)2016: 50 filings (8.91/100 renter HHs)2017: 42 filings (7.49/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 950% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Four Corners

63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Polk County average of 45.8%. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 58.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10. Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $77,100, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Court records carry 573 eviction filings across 17 observed years. Average gross rent is $2,119, 15% above the Four Corners average.

Filings peaked in 2013 at 11.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 14.6% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #48,956 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. It tracks the Polk County average of 3.9 closely.

41% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012405

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012405?

Census tract 12105012405 in Four Corners scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105012405?

Median gross rent is $2,119/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012405?

14.4% of residents in tract 12105012405 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,464.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012405?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 44th, minority 71th, housing 72th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105012405?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 573 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105012405 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.55% of renter households, peaking at 11.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105012405 compare to Four Corners overall?

Tract 12105012405 scores 4/10, lower than the parent city of Four Corners at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Four Corners eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Four Corners

Top eight tracts in Four Corners ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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