Lakefield West Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 60.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $3,501, 37% above the Wellington average of $2,562. On the softer side is economic stress, at 1.3/10.

Against a Wellington baseline of 36.2%, 29% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Well under the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.6/10. Severe burden reaches 15%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Court records for this tract carry 35 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2011, when filings touched 11.1% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 5.6% in 2015, is well off that peak.

Among the 8 mapped neighborhoods of Wellington, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Lakeview North and Manchester Greens.

Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.