Neighborhood · Holiday, FL

Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 10,072 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 3.8–5.6

Forest Ridge is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Holiday with 4 census tracts and a population of 10,072 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 53% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 27% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,307/month sits 5% higher than the Holiday citywide average ($1,239).

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

4 tracts · population-weighted

Forest Ridge vs Holiday How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

52.9% +16%

Holiday: 45.5%

Average gross rent

$1,307 +5%

Holiday: $1,239

Average HH income

$48,386 +10%

Holiday: $43,996

Poverty rate

18.9% +1%

Holiday: 18.6%

Renter share

33.9% +1%

Holiday: 33.7%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Forest Ridge and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.8–5.6

Why Forest Ridge scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts

1.5

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 4.6–4.6 across tracts

4.6

Rent control risk

53% of income on rent · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts

9.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts

1.7

Tenant organizing strength

34% renter households · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts

7.7

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 8.4–8.4 across tracts

8.4

Economic stress

18.9% below poverty line · Range 2.3–8.4 across tracts

4.7

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.3 across tracts

1.7

Risk score comparison

Forest Ridge vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Forest Ridge?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.8 points from 3.8 to 5.6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

5.6 5.0 4.2 3.8

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Forest Ridge

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
12101030412	5.6	2,498	66%	$1,180
12101030410	5	1,490	66%	$1,059
12101030411	4.2	3,485	46%	$1,440
12101030409	3.8	2,599	43%	$1,391

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 86%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 64%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 44%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 56%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Forest Ridge

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

1,028Total filings (sum)
7.26%Avg annual filing rate
27.9%Peak year (2011)
6.20%Latest filed (2012)

Frequently asked

About Forest Ridge

What is the eviction-risk score for Forest Ridge?

Forest Ridge scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Forest Ridge compare to Holiday overall?

Forest Ridge scores 2.1 points higher than Holiday overall (2.5/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 46% citywide. Average rent: $1,307 vs $1,239.

What is the average rent in Forest Ridge?

Average gross rent in Forest Ridge is $1,307/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Forest Ridge residents are renters?

34% of Forest Ridge households are renter-occupied (vs 34% in Holiday). The neighborhood has 10,072 residents.

Is Forest Ridge a high social-vulnerability area?

Forest Ridge sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Forest Ridge have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Forest Ridge is census tract 12101030412 (score 5.6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.8 to 5.6, a spread of 1.8 points.

How safe is Forest Ridge for landlords?

Forest Ridge carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Holiday as a whole (2.5/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Forest Ridge?

Forest Ridge has 10,109 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.3%), Hispanic / Latino (16.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Forest Ridge

4.3 New Port Richey 6 tracts · pop 24,754 3.7 Emerald Fields 4 tracts · pop 11,665 3.7 Zephyrhills 6 tracts · pop 17,402

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