Within neighborhood
67
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Holiday
Tract 12101030410 · Pasco, FL · pop 1,490 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Eviction risk in the Forest Ridge neighborhood of Holiday centers on tract 12101030410, which scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 1,490 residents. On the national scale it ranks #26,153 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 66% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 44% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,059 a month against an average household income of $36,250 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,014
Renter share38.8%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate22.9%
Median income$36,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
57
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
90
th percentile
High
Within state
87
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Holiday and the region
Centroid at 28.1862, -82.7451 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Ridge scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Holiday
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.9% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,059 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Holiday
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Holiday
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Holiday
8.4
How Forest Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 94%Socioeconomic
- 36%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 231Total filings over 13 yrs
- 5.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.3%Peak (2006)
- 19Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 73% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Ridge
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Holiday, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pasco County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 231 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 5.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.3% of renter households in 2006.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12101030410
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12101030410?
Census tract 12101030410 in the Forest Ridge neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12101030410?
Median gross rent is $1,059/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12101030410?
22.9% of residents in tract 12101030410 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,490.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12101030410?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 36th, minority 28th, housing 83th.
Q5
Is tract 12101030410 considered part of Forest Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12101030410 fall within Forest Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12101030410?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 231 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 12101030410 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.33% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12101030410 compare to Holiday overall?
Tract 12101030410 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Holiday at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Holiday; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Holiday
Top eight tracts in Holiday ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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