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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Holiday

Tract 12101030410 · Pasco, FL · pop 1,490 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 12101030410 in the Forest Ridge area of Holiday, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 13% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,014
Renter share38.8%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate22.9%
Median income$36,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Forest Ridge
Very High
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 8 tracts In Holiday
High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#10 of 130 tracts In Pasco
Very High
Within state
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#495 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Holiday and the region

Centroid at 28.1862, -82.7451 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Ridge scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Holiday
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.9% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,059 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Holiday
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Holiday
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Holiday
8.4

How Forest Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0304104.0Holidayparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 231Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 5.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.3%Peak (2006)
  • 19Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12101030410
Filings climbed 73% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Forest Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Ridge

Cost burden runs 66% here against 48.0% across Pasco County. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $36,250, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Disability prevalence runs 44.4% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Pasco County average of 4.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

The filing record is not thin: 231 evictions over 13 years of observation. At $1,059 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Holiday commands. Filings peaked in 2006 at 7.3% of renter households.

In a typical year about 5.3% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #24,859 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12101030410

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12101030410?

Census tract 12101030410 in the Forest Ridge neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12101030410?

Median gross rent is $1,059/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12101030410?

22.9% of residents in tract 12101030410 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,490.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12101030410?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 36th, minority 28th, housing 83th.
Q5

Is tract 12101030410 considered part of Forest Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12101030410 fall within Forest Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12101030410?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 231 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 12101030410 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.33% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12101030410 compare to Holiday overall?

Tract 12101030410 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Holiday at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Holiday; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Holiday

Top eight tracts in Holiday ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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