Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #37,643 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Holiday
Tract 12101030411 · Pasco, FL · pop 3,485 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
The Forest Ridge area of Holiday is where census tract 12101030411 sits, home to 3,485 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.5/10. It lands near the 58th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,440 monthly, set against $54,863 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 33% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,401
Renter share33.0%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$54,863
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Holiday and the region
Centroid at 28.1789, -82.7658 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Ridge scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Holiday
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,440 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Holiday
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Holiday
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Holiday
8.4
How Forest Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 205Total filings over 13 yrs
- 5.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.7%Peak (2004)
- 19Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 138% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Ridge
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Holiday, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pasco County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 205 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 5.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.7% of renter households in 2004.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12101030411
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12101030411?
Census tract 12101030411 in the Forest Ridge neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12101030411?
Median gross rent is $1,440/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12101030411?
13.6% of residents in tract 12101030411 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,485.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12101030411?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 91th, minority 42th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 12101030411 considered part of Forest Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12101030411 fall within Forest Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12101030411?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 205 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 12101030411 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.83% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12101030411 compare to Holiday overall?
Tract 12101030411 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Holiday at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Holiday; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Holiday
Top eight tracts in Holiday ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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