Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Holiday
Tract 12101030411 · Pasco, FL · pop 3,485 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 12101030411 sits in the Forest Ridge area of Holiday, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.8/10. It is home to 3,485 residents. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units1,401
Renter share33.0%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$54,863
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
14
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Holiday and the region
Centroid at 28.1789, -82.7658 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Ridge scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Holiday
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,440 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Holiday
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Holiday
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Holiday
8.4
How Forest Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 76
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 205Total filings over 13 yrs
- 5.83%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.7%Peak (2004)
- 19Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 138% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forest Ridge
The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. At $1,440 a month, rents run 16% over what the rest of Holiday commands. The filing record is not thin: 205 evictions over 13 years of observation.
It sits 0.7 points above the Pasco County average of 4.1. Filings peaked in 2004 at 10.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 58% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12101030411
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12101030411?
Census tract 12101030411 in the Forest Ridge neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12101030411?
Median gross rent is $1,440/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12101030411?
13.6% of residents in tract 12101030411 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,485.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12101030411?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 91th, minority 42th, housing 40th.
Q5
Is tract 12101030411 considered part of Forest Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12101030411 fall within Forest Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12101030411?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 205 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 12101030411 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.83% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12101030411 compare to Holiday overall?
Tract 12101030411 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Holiday at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Holiday; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Holiday
Top eight tracts in Holiday ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Forest Ridge
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Forest Ridge
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12101030501
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12101030602
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12101030502
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12101030408
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Forest Ridge
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Related