Neighborhood · Ranked #16,850 of 84,120 nationally
Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Holiday
Tract 12101030412 ·
Pasco, FL · pop 2,498 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
The Elevated-tier score of 6.2/10 for census tract 12101030412 reflects conditions in the Forest Ridge area of Holiday, Florida. On the national scale it ranks #16,106 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 66% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,180 a month while the average household earns $35,804 a year, roughly 40% of income at the averages. About 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%Stable renters 16%Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,242
Renter share46.5%
SVI overall0.78
Poverty rate33.8%
Median income$35,804
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 4 tracts In Forest Ridge
Very High
Within parent city
100th percentile
#1 of 8 tracts In Holiday
Very High
Within county
99th percentile
#2 of 130 tracts In Pasco
Very High
Within state
95th percentile
#279 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Holiday and the region
Centroid at 28.1811, -82.7525 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forest Ridge scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Holiday
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
33.8% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$1,180 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Holiday
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Holiday
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Holiday
8.4
How Forest Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 78
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
85%Socioeconomic
76%Household composition
58%Racial/ethnic minority
51%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
410Total filings over 13 yrs
11.88%Avg annual filing rate
27.9%Peak (2004)
27Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2012
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Forest Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Holiday, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pasco County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 410 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 11.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 27.9% of renter households in 2004.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 78th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 12101030412
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12101030412?
Census tract 12101030412 in the Forest Ridge neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12101030412?
Median gross rent is $1,180/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12101030412?
33.8% of residents in tract 12101030412 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,498.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12101030412?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 76th, minority 58th, housing 51th.
Q5
Is tract 12101030412 considered part of Forest Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12101030412 fall within Forest Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12101030412?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 410 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 12101030412 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.88% of renter households, peaking at 27.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12101030412 compare to Holiday overall?
Tract 12101030412 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Holiday at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Holiday; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Holiday
Top eight tracts in Holiday ranked by composite eviction-risk score.