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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

Forest Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , Holiday

Tract 12101030409 · Pasco, FL · pop 2,599 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 4.3/10, tract 12101030409 in the Forest Ridge area of Holiday, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,599 residents. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9/10.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 12% Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,114
Renter share20.3%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate9.4%
Median income$58,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Forest Ridge
Very Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 8 tracts In Holiday
Very Low
Within county
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#54 of 130 tracts In Pasco
Elevated
Within state
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#1,882 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Holiday and the region

Centroid at 28.1910, -82.7571 · click any tract to drill in

Why Forest Ridge scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Holiday
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.4% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,391 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Holiday
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Holiday
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Holiday
8.4

How Forest Ridge compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Forest Ridge risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 0304094.0Holidayparent city4.1Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 182Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 5.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.1%Peak (2011)
  • 16Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12101030409
Filings dropped 16% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Forest Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Forest Ridge

The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10.

43% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Pasco County average of 48.0%. Court records carry 182 eviction filings across 13 observed years. At $1,391 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Holiday commands.

The worst year on record was 2011, when 9.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.8% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #44,239 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

At 20% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.5/10.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12101030409

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12101030409?

Census tract 12101030409 in the Forest Ridge neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12101030409?

Median gross rent is $1,391/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12101030409?

9.4% of residents in tract 12101030409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,599.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12101030409?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 32th, minority 44th, housing 67th.
Q5

Is tract 12101030409 considered part of Forest Ridge?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12101030409 fall within Forest Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12101030409?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 182 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 12101030409 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.84% of renter households, peaking at 9.1% in 2011. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12101030409 compare to Holiday overall?

Tract 12101030409 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Holiday at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Holiday; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Holiday

Top eight tracts in Holiday ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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