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Neighborhood · Ranked #59,085 of 84,120 nationally

Highland Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Palm Harbor

Tract 12103027317 · Pinellas, FL · pop 5,129 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

The Highland Lakes area of Palm Harbor is where census tract 12103027317 sits, home to 5,129 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.4/10. That is riskier than about 54% of US census tracts.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,688 a month while the average household earns $77,232 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 33% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 14% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,028
Renter share33.0%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate12.2%
Median income$77,232

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 6 tracts In Highland Lakes
Elevated
Within parent city
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 14 tracts In Palm Harbor
Moderate
Within county
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#155 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Moderate
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#2,627 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Palm Harbor and the region

Centroid at 28.0619, -82.7265 · click any tract to drill in

Why Highland Lakes scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Palm Harbor
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.2% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,688 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palm Harbor
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palm Harbor
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palm Harbor
7.1

How Highland Lakes compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Highland Lakes risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 027317Palm Harbor: 2.22.2Palm Harborparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 524Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 3.86%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.6%Peak (2005)
  • 29Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121030273172000: 14 filings (1.86/100 renter HHs)2001: 22 filings (2.92/100 renter HHs)2002: 25 filings (3.32/100 renter HHs)2003: 34 filings (4.51/100 renter HHs)2004: 37 filings (4.91/100 renter HHs)2005: 41 filings (6.60/100 renter HHs)2006: 26 filings (4.19/100 renter HHs)2007: 28 filings (4.51/100 renter HHs)2008: 40 filings (6.44/100 renter HHs)2009: 40 filings (6.44/100 renter HHs)2010: 31 filings (3.95/100 renter HHs)2011: 29 filings (2.94/100 renter HHs)2012: 22 filings (2.23/100 renter HHs)2013: 30 filings (3.04/100 renter HHs)2014: 34 filings (3.44/100 renter HHs)2015: 16 filings (1.62/100 renter HHs)2016: 26 filings (3.06/100 renter HHs)2017: 29 filings (3.42/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 107% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 110Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.72×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 5 filings (3.33× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-11-01: 13 filings (13.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-01-01: 7 filings (2.80× baseline)2021-02-01: 4 filings (2.67× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 5 filings (2.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 3 filings (3.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-03-01: 2 filings (0.89× baseline)2022-04-01: 3 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-05-01: 6 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 4 filings (2.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-08-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 1 filings (0.33× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-03-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2024-05-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-01-01: 6 filings (2.40× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 1 filings (0.44× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Highland Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Highland Lakes

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Palm Harbor, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.72x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 524 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 3.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.6% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103027317

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027317?

Census tract 12103027317 in the Highland Lakes neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103027317?

Median gross rent is $1,688/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027317?

12.2% of residents in tract 12103027317 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,129.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027317?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 79th, minority 30th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 12103027317 considered part of Highland Lakes?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027317 fall within Highland Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027317?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 524 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103027317 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.86% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103027317 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103027317 compare to Palm Harbor overall?

Tract 12103027317 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Palm Harbor at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palm Harbor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Palm Harbor

Top eight tracts in Palm Harbor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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