Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Highland Lakes Eviction Risk: Lower , Palm Harbor
Tract 12103027314 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,130 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 12103027314 sits in the Highland Lakes area of Palm Harbor, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. Population here is 3,130. The severe-burden share is 50%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units1,444
Renter share45.8%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$77,200
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
31
th percentile
Low
Within county
40
th percentile
Low
Within state
39
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Palm Harbor and the region
Centroid at 28.0759, -82.7128 · click any tract to drill in
Why Highland Lakes scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Palm Harbor
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,245 rent vs county FMR
6.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Palm Harbor
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Palm Harbor
5.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Palm Harbor
7.1
How Highland Lakes compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 46%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 312Total filings over 18 yrs
- 2.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.8%Peak (2006)
- 7Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 17% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 48Total filings 2020-21
- 0.7Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.23×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Highland Lakes. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Highland Lakes
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. Against Pinellas County at 53.4%, 66% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10. Set annual rent against average income of $77,200 and the ratio lands at 35%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
At $2,245 a month, rents run 24% over what the rest of Palm Harbor commands. The filing record is not thin: 312 evictions over 18 years of observation.
The voucher gap is 13.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Filings peaked in 2006 at 4.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 2.4% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.9/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely. 46% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103027314
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027314?
Census tract 12103027314 in the Highland Lakes neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103027314?
Median gross rent is $2,245/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027314?
7.8% of residents in tract 12103027314 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,130.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027314?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 75th, minority 36th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 12103027314 considered part of Highland Lakes?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027314 fall within Highland Lakes (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027314?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 312 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103027314 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.35% of renter households, peaking at 4.8% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103027314 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.23× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103027314 compare to Palm Harbor overall?
Tract 12103027314 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Palm Harbor at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Palm Harbor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Palm Harbor
Top eight tracts in Palm Harbor ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Westlake Village
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Gleneagles
4.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Gleneagles
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103027318
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Harbor View
3.5
/ 10 · Low
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