Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #76,762 of 84,120 nationally
Bellerive Eviction Risk: Lower , East Lake
Tract 12103027309 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,357 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
Eviction risk in Bellerive in East Lake centers on tract 12103027309, which scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) and is home to 2,357 residents. That is riskier than roughly 9% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 0% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $120,526 a year. About 3% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0%
Stable renters 3%
Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units866
Renter share2.7%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate7.3%
Median income$120,526
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
7
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
16
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Lake and the region
Centroid at 28.1588, -82.6712 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bellerive scores 2.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Lake
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.3% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Lake
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Lake
4.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Lake
6.2
How Bellerive compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 21%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 18%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 21Total filings over 12 yrs
- 10.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.4%Peak (2012)
- 3Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 8Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.76×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bellerive
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East Lake, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 16th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.76x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103027309
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027309?
Census tract 12103027309 in the Bellerive neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027309?
7.3% of residents in tract 12103027309 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,357.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027309?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 32th, minority 18th, housing 20th.
Q4
Is tract 12103027309 considered part of Bellerive?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027309 fall within Bellerive (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027309?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 21 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 12103027309 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.36% of renter households, peaking at 17.4% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12103027309 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.76× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12103027309 compare to East Lake overall?
Tract 12103027309 scores 2.7/10, higher than the parent city of East Lake at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Lake; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Lake
Top eight tracts in East Lake ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Harbor Palms
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103027333
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Highland Lakes
3.7
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Nine Eagles
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103027324
3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103027321
2.5
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103027328
2.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103027329
2.3
/ 10 · Low
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