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Neighborhood · Lealman, FL

Duval Park Eviction Risk: Lower

4 census tracts · pop 12,571 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 2.5–4.9

Duval Park is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Lealman with 4 census tracts and a population of 12,571 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 52% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,199/month sits 4% lower than the Lealman citywide average ($1,247).

Risk score
3.8
Lower
4 tracts · population-weighted
Duval Park vs Lealman How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
51.6% +50%
Lealman: 34.5%
Average gross rent
$1,199 -4%
Lealman: $1,247
Average HH income
$60,441 +32%
Lealman: $45,949
Poverty rate
11.1% -24%
Lealman: 14.6%
Renter share
42.4% +14%
Lealman: 37.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Duval Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 2.5–4.9

Why Duval Park scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Rent control risk
52% of income on rent · Range 7.3–8.2 across tracts
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.0–1.7 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
42% renter households · Range 6.6–7.8 across tracts
7.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.3 across tracts
7.1
Economic stress
11.1% below poverty line · Range 1.2–5.4 across tracts
2.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.5 across tracts
1.6
Risk score comparison

Duval Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Duval Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Duval Park: 3.83.8Duval ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 2.62.6Parent cityhost cityState: 2.52.5Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Duval Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.4 points from 2.5 to 4.9. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Duval Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
12103024701 4.9 3,228 52% $747
12103024703 4.2 3,592 50% $1,261
12103024702 3.7 2,318 39% $1,314
12103024908 2.5 3,433 61% $1,481
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 76

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 74%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 68%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 54%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 76%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Duval Park

Aggregated across 3 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,259Total filings (sum)
  • 8.37%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.3%Peak year (2016)
  • 7.96%Latest filed (2017)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 689Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.3Avg monthly observed
  • 3.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.77×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA).

Frequently asked

About Duval Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Duval Park?

Duval Park scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Duval Park compare to Lealman overall?

Duval Park scores 1.2 points higher than Lealman overall (2.6/10). Renters spend 52% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,199 vs $1,247.
Q3

What is the average rent in Duval Park?

Average gross rent in Duval Park is $1,199/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Duval Park residents are renters?

42% of Duval Park households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Lealman). The neighborhood has 12,571 residents.
Q5

Is Duval Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Duval Park sits in the 76th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Duval Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Duval Park is census tract 12103024701 (score 4.9/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 2.5 to 4.9, a spread of 2.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Duval Park for landlords?

Duval Park carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lealman as a whole (2.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Duval Park?

Duval Park has 12,143 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60%), Hispanic / Latino (14.2%), Other / Multiracial (9.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Duval Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lealman

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Duval Park.

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