Within neighborhood
33
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #65,283 of 84,120 nationally
Seminole Groves Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12103025108 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,220 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Here is how census tract 12103025108, in the Seminole Groves neighborhood of Seminole, looks to a landlord: a 4.9/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 2,220. It lands near the 36th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 68% of renter households, a severe level, and 53% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,459 a month while the average household earns $67,000 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 12% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,296
Renter share12.4%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$67,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
58
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
27
th percentile
Low
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seminole and the region
Centroid at 27.8151, -82.7944 · click any tract to drill in
Why Seminole Groves scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Seminole
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,459 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seminole
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seminole
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seminole
5.3
How Seminole Groves compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 69%Household composition
- 25%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 162Total filings over 18 yrs
- 4.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.1%Peak (2001)
- 4Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 36Total filings 2020-21
- 0.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.89×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Seminole Groves. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Seminole Groves
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Seminole, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.89x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025108
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025108?
Census tract 12103025108 in the Seminole Groves neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025108?
Median gross rent is $1,459/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025108?
5.6% of residents in tract 12103025108 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,220.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025108?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 69th, minority 25th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025108 considered part of Seminole Groves?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025108 fall within Seminole Groves (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025108?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 162 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025108 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.96% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025108 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.89× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103025108 compare to Seminole overall?
Tract 12103025108 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Seminole at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seminole; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Seminole
Top eight tracts in Seminole ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Seminole Groves
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Buena Vista
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103025116
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Seminole Village
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103025114
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Seminole Groves
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Seminole
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Buena Vista
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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