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Neighborhood · Ranked #61,295 of 84,120 nationally

Seminole Village Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12103025016 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,121 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

In Seminole Village in Seminole, census tract 12103025016 scores 4.8/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 33% of US census tracts.

46% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,095 a month against an average household income of $75,417 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. About 28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 15% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units895
Renter share27.7%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate10.3%
Median income$75,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Seminole Village
Elevated
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 13 tracts In Seminole
High
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#174 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
Low
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#2,821 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seminole and the region

Centroid at 27.8356, -82.7657 · click any tract to drill in

Why Seminole Village scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seminole
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.3% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,095 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seminole
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seminole
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seminole
5.3

How Seminole Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Seminole Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 025016Seminole: 2.22.2Seminoleparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.93.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 84Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 3.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.5%Peak (2009)
  • 2Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121030250162000: 3 filings (2.12/100 renter HHs)2001: 2 filings (1.41/100 renter HHs)2002: 6 filings (4.24/100 renter HHs)2003: 2 filings (1.41/100 renter HHs)2004: 9 filings (6.36/100 renter HHs)2005: 4 filings (3.10/100 renter HHs)2006: 5 filings (3.87/100 renter HHs)2007: 5 filings (3.87/100 renter HHs)2008: 7 filings (5.42/100 renter HHs)2009: 11 filings (8.52/100 renter HHs)2010: 2 filings (1.01/100 renter HHs)2011: 9 filings (4.84/100 renter HHs)2012: 4 filings (2.15/100 renter HHs)2013: 2 filings (1.08/100 renter HHs)2014: 3 filings (1.61/100 renter HHs)2015: 4 filings (2.15/100 renter HHs)2016: 4 filings (1.94/100 renter HHs)2017: 2 filings (0.97/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 6Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.50×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 1 filings (4.00× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-08-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 1 filings (10.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Seminole Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Seminole Village

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Seminole, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 84 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 3.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.5% of renter households in 2009.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103025016

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025016?

Census tract 12103025016 in the Seminole Village neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103025016?

Median gross rent is $1,095/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025016?

10.3% of residents in tract 12103025016 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,121.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025016?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 61th, minority 53th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 12103025016 considered part of Seminole Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025016 fall within Seminole Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025016?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 84 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025016 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.12% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103025016 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.50× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103025016 compare to Seminole overall?

Tract 12103025016 scores 3.6/10, higher than the parent city of Seminole at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seminole; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seminole

Top eight tracts in Seminole ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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