Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,218 of 84,120 nationally
Seminole Groves Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12103025109 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,163 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 5.1/10, tract 12103025109 in the Seminole Groves neighborhood of Seminole ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,163 residents. On the national scale it ranks #47,908 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,327 a month against an average household income of $58,548 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 43% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 23%
Owners 57%
Tract context
Occupied units1,906
Renter share43.5%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate17.3%
Median income$58,548
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
75
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seminole and the region
Centroid at 27.8330, -82.7928 · click any tract to drill in
Why Seminole Groves scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Seminole
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.3% poverty · this tract
4.3
Supply constraint
$1,327 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seminole
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seminole
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seminole
5.3
How Seminole Groves compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 54%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 28%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 612Total filings over 18 yrs
- 4.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.5%Peak (2002)
- 19Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 32% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 73Total filings 2020-21
- 1.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.63×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Seminole Groves. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Seminole Groves
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Seminole, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 66th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 612 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 4.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 9.5% of renter households in 2002.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025109
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025109?
Census tract 12103025109 in the Seminole Groves neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025109?
Median gross rent is $1,327/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025109?
17.3% of residents in tract 12103025109 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,163.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025109?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 74th, minority 28th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025109 considered part of Seminole Groves?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025109 fall within Seminole Groves (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025109?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 612 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103025109 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.57% of renter households, peaking at 9.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025109 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.63× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103025109 compare to Seminole overall?
Tract 12103025109 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Seminole at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seminole; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Seminole
Top eight tracts in Seminole ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Buena Vista
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103025116
4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Seminole Village
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
12103025114
3.6
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Seminole Groves
3.4
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Seminole Groves
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Seminole
3.3
/ 10 · Low
Tract · FL
Buena Vista
3.3
/ 10 · Low
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