Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Euclid-St. Paul Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103023400 · Pinellas, FL · pop 1,947 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
12103023400 is a census tract in the Euclid-St. Paul area of St. Petersburg, FL. It scores 4.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 1,947. 35% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Pinellas County average of 53.4%.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units688
Renter share59.2%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate19.5%
Median income$76,944
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
74
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
60
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7816, -82.6539 · click any tract to drill in
Why Euclid-St. Paul scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.5% poverty · this tract
4.9
Supply constraint
$1,380 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Euclid-St. Paul compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 66
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 11%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 84%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 4%Grade B
- 62%Grade C
- 2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 559Total filings over 18 yrs
- 6.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.8%Peak (2000)
- 26Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 47% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 67Total filings 2020-21
- 0.9Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.49×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Euclid-St. Paul. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Euclid-St. Paul
24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2/10.
The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,380, 17% below the St. Petersburg average.
The filing record is not thin: 559 evictions over 18 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2000 at 9.8% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 6.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103023400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103023400?
Census tract 12103023400 in the Euclid-St. Paul neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103023400?
Median gross rent is $1,380/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103023400?
19.5% of residents in tract 12103023400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,947.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103023400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 11th, minority 49th, housing 84th.
Q5
Is tract 12103023400 considered part of Euclid-St. Paul?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103023400 fall within Euclid-St. Paul (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103023400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 559 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103023400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.50% of renter households, peaking at 9.8% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103023400 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.49× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103023400 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103023400 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103023400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Edge District
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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