Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally
Lakewood Terrace Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103020208 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,486 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 12103020208 in the Lakewood Terrace area of St. Petersburg, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 75% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Pinellas County average of 53.4%.
Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 49%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,151
Renter share65.5%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate17.0%
Median income$49,972
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
86
th percentile
High
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
70
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7164, -82.6554 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakewood Terrace scores 4.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
17.0% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,439 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Lakewood Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 58%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,340Total filings over 18 yrs
- 17.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 35.8%Peak (2002)
- 54Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 30% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 589Total filings 2020-21
- 8.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 6.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.27×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lakewood Terrace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lakewood Terrace
24% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10.
Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income of $49,972, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 66% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.3/10. The filing record is not thin: 1,340 evictions over 18 years of observation. It sits 0.8 points above the Pinellas County average of 3.8.
Average gross rent is $1,439, 13% below the St. Petersburg average. The worst year on record was 2002, when 35.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 17.6% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103020208
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103020208?
Census tract 12103020208 in the Lakewood Terrace neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103020208?
Median gross rent is $1,439/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103020208?
17.0% of residents in tract 12103020208 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,486.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103020208?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 49th, minority 81th, housing 58th.
Q5
Is tract 12103020208 considered part of Lakewood Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103020208 fall within Lakewood Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103020208?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,340 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103020208 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 17.57% of renter households, peaking at 35.8% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103020208 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.27× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103020208 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103020208 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12103020206
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Edge District
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
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