Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,763 of 84,120 nationally
Lakewood Terrace Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103020301 · Pinellas, FL · pop 4,055 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 12103020301 covers Lakewood Terrace in St. Petersburg, home to 4,055 residents. For landlords it grades 4.9/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 36% of US census tracts.
About 59% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 22% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,637 a month while the average household earns $73,803 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 21% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 9%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,667
Renter share21.5%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate18.2%
Median income$73,803
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
76
th percentile
High
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7290, -82.6395 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakewood Terrace scores 3.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.2% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,637 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Lakewood Terrace compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 42%Household composition
- 76%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 67%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 728Total filings over 18 yrs
- 11.39%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.8%Peak (2001)
- 45Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 146Total filings 2020-21
- 2.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.72×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lakewood Terrace. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lakewood Terrace
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 4.6/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.72x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103020301
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103020301?
Census tract 12103020301 in the Lakewood Terrace neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103020301?
Median gross rent is $1,637/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103020301?
18.2% of residents in tract 12103020301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,055.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103020301?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 42th, minority 76th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 12103020301 considered part of Lakewood Terrace?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103020301 fall within Lakewood Terrace (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103020301?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 728 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103020301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.39% of renter households, peaking at 21.8% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103020301 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103020301 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103020301 scores 3.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12103020301 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Childs Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12103020206
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
4.7
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
4.5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
4.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holiday Park
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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