Bartlett Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103020500 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,608 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Census tract 12103020500 covers part of the Bartlett Park area of St. Petersburg, FL, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 47%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7507, -82.6435 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bartlett Park scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Bartlett Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 45%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 80%Housing & transportation
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 88%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 2,284Total filings over 18 yrs
- 14.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 21.2%Peak (2000)
- 118Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 457Total filings 2020-21
- 6.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 12.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.51×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
What drives eviction risk in Bartlett Park
72% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Pinellas County average of 53.4%. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.
Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $51,218, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.
Against the Pinellas County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 2,284 eviction filings across 18 observed years.
At $1,423 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of St. Petersburg commands. Filings peaked in 2000 at 21.2% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 14.3% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
About tract 12103020500
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103020500?
What is the average rent in tract 12103020500?
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103020500?
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103020500?
Is tract 12103020500 considered part of Bartlett Park?
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103020500?
Did eviction filings in tract 12103020500 drop during COVID?
How does tract 12103020500 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Was tract 12103020500 historically redlined?
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.