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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally

Bartlett Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg

Tract 12103020500 · Pinellas, FL · pop 3,608 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 12103020500 covers part of the Bartlett Park area of St. Petersburg, FL, and scores 4.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 47%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 13% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,164
Renter share44.8%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$51,218

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bartlett Park
Moderate
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 77 tracts In St. Petersburg
Very High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 273 tracts In Pinellas
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#1,143 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region

Centroid at 27.7507, -82.6435 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bartlett Park scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,423 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0

How Bartlett Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bartlett Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.9This tracttract 0205003.5St. Petersburgparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 2,284Total filings over 18 yrs
  • 14.27%Avg annual filing rate
  • 21.2%Peak (2000)
  • 118Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12103020500
Filings dropped 30% over the past 18 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 457Total filings 2020-21
  • 6.3Avg monthly (observed)
  • 12.2Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.51×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bartlett Park

72% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Pinellas County average of 53.4%. The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $51,218, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.2/10.

Against the Pinellas County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 2,284 eviction filings across 18 observed years.

At $1,423 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of St. Petersburg commands. Filings peaked in 2000 at 21.2% of renter households.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for St. Petersburg. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 14.3% of renter households face a filing.

That is riskier than roughly 59% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12103020500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103020500?

Census tract 12103020500 in the Bartlett Park neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12103020500?

Median gross rent is $1,423/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12103020500?

19.9% of residents in tract 12103020500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,608.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12103020500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 45th, minority 81th, housing 80th.
Q5

Is tract 12103020500 considered part of Bartlett Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103020500 fall within Bartlett Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103020500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2,284 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103020500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.27% of renter households, peaking at 21.2% in 2000. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12103020500 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.51× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12103020500 compare to St. Petersburg overall?

Tract 12103020500 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12103020500 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg

Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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