Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #32,730 of 84,120 nationally
Holiday Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , St. Petersburg
Tract 12103022501 · Pinellas, FL · pop 5,056 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
In Holiday Park in St. Petersburg, census tract 12103022501 scores 4.9/10 for eviction risk. That is riskier than about 36% of US census tracts.
50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,591 monthly, set against $62,053 in average yearly household income, roughly 31% of income at the averages. Renters make up 33% of occupied homes.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units2,313
Renter share33.3%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate20.3%
Median income$62,053
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
88
th percentile
High
Within county
89
th percentile
High
Within state
83
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Petersburg and the region
Centroid at 27.7864, -82.7249 · click any tract to drill in
Why Holiday Park scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Petersburg
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.3% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,591 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Petersburg
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Petersburg
4.0
How Holiday Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 60%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 79%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 850Total filings over 18 yrs
- 5.86%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.1%Peak (2006)
- 22Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 46% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 187Total filings 2020-21
- 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.3Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.11×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Holiday Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Holiday Park
The heaviest input here is economic stress at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 850 eviction filings here over 18 tracked years, with about 5.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.1% of renter households in 2006.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.11x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103022501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103022501?
Census tract 12103022501 in the Holiday Park neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103022501?
Median gross rent is $1,591/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103022501?
20.3% of residents in tract 12103022501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,056.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103022501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 31th, minority 44th, housing 79th.
Q5
Is tract 12103022501 considered part of Holiday Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103022501 fall within Holiday Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103022501?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 850 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103022501 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.86% of renter households, peaking at 10.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103022501 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.11× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103022501 compare to St. Petersburg overall?
Tract 12103022501 scores 4.9/10, higher than the parent city of St. Petersburg at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Petersburg eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Petersburg
Top eight tracts in St. Petersburg ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Thirteenth Street Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Childs Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12103020206
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Palmetto Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riviera Bay
5.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bartlett Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Bridgewater Place
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Edge District
4.9
/ 10 · Moderate
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