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Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Auburndale Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105012409 · Polk, FL · pop 2,337 · 50% of tract blocks fall in Auburndale

Tract 12105012409 sits in Auburndale, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. It is home to 2,337 residents. Average gross rent is $1,899, 57% above the Auburndale average.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 9% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units779
Renter share17.8%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$75,313

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 9 tracts In Auburndale
Low
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#102 of 174 tracts In Polk
Moderate
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#3,121 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#59,654 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Auburndale and the region

Centroid at 28.1374, -81.7635 · click any tract to drill in

Why Auburndale scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Auburndale
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,899 rent vs county FMR
9.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Auburndale
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Auburndale
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Auburndale
7.4

How Auburndale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Auburndale risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 0124093.7Auburndaleparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 52Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 5.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.3%Peak (2007)
  • 4Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105012409
Filings climbed 100% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Auburndale

The voucher gap is 42.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 9.2/10.

Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.6/10.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 52 filings here across 15 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2007, when 9.3% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.9/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012409

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012409?

Census tract 12105012409 in Auburndale scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105012409?

Median gross rent is $1,899/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012409?

13.5% of residents in tract 12105012409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,337.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012409?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 35th, minority 58th, housing 24th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105012409?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 52 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 12105012409 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.50% of renter households, peaking at 9.3% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105012409 compare to Auburndale overall?

Tract 12105012409 scores 3.4/10, lower than the parent city of Auburndale at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Auburndale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Auburndale

Top eight tracts in Auburndale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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