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Census Tract · Ranked #41,065 of 84,120 nationally

Auburndale Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105013200 · Polk, FL · pop 2,221 · 80% of tract blocks fall in Auburndale

Tract 12105013200, home to 2,221 residents in Auburndale in Polk County, scores 5.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 54% of US census tracts.

About 44% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,057 a month while the average household earns $42,074 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. Renters make up 68% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 38% Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units714
Renter share67.9%
SVI overall0.86
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$42,074

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
63 th percentile
Rank, 63rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 9 tracts In Auburndale
Elevated
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#83 of 174 tracts In Polk
Moderate
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#1,651 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,065 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Auburndale and the region

Centroid at 28.0601, -81.7833 · click any tract to drill in

Why Auburndale scores 4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Auburndale
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,057 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Auburndale
8.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Auburndale
6.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Auburndale
7.4

How Auburndale compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Auburndale risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.04.0This tracttract 013200Auburndale: 2.22.2Auburndaleparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 86

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 478Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 8.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 13.3%Peak (2008)
  • 34Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050132002000: 37 filings (11.01/100 renter HHs)2001: 26 filings (7.74/100 renter HHs)2002: 25 filings (7.44/100 renter HHs)2003: 26 filings (7.74/100 renter HHs)2004: 24 filings (7.14/100 renter HHs)2005: 21 filings (6.34/100 renter HHs)2007: 43 filings (12.99/100 renter HHs)2008: 44 filings (13.29/100 renter HHs)2009: 20 filings (6.04/100 renter HHs)2010: 19 filings (5.65/100 renter HHs)2011: 29 filings (8.68/100 renter HHs)2012: 18 filings (5.39/100 renter HHs)2013: 21 filings (6.29/100 renter HHs)2014: 34 filings (10.18/100 renter HHs)2015: 40 filings (11.98/100 renter HHs)2016: 17 filings (4.59/100 renter HHs)2017: 34 filings (9.19/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Auburndale

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Auburndale, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 86th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 478 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 8.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 13.3% of renter households in 2008.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105013200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105013200?

Census tract 12105013200 in Auburndale scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105013200?

Median gross rent is $1,057/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105013200?

13.5% of residents in tract 12105013200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,221.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105013200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 86th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 90th, household 67th, minority 62th, housing 79th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105013200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 478 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105013200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.33% of renter households, peaking at 13.3% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105013200 compare to Auburndale overall?

Tract 12105013200 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Auburndale at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Auburndale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Auburndale

Top eight tracts in Auburndale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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