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Census Tract · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Haines City Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105012602 · Polk, FL · pop 6,409 · 83% of tract blocks fall in Haines City

Census tract 12105012602 covers Haines City in Polk County, home to 6,409 residents. For landlords it grades 4.7/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 29% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 37% of renter households, a high level, and 12% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,148 a month against an average household income of $52,754 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 59% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 37% Owners 41%
Tract context
Occupied units1,809
Renter share59.3%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate30.1%
Median income$52,754

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Haines City
Very High
Within county
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#34 of 174 tracts In Polk
High
Within state
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#668 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#24,926 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Haines City and the region

Centroid at 28.1263, -81.6059 · click any tract to drill in

Why Haines City scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Haines City
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
30.1% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,148 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Haines City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Haines City
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Haines City
2.4

How Haines City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Haines City risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 012602Haines City: 2.32.3Haines Cityparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 320Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 2.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.3%Peak (2002)
  • 18Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050126022000: 19 filings (2.79/100 renter HHs)2001: 20 filings (2.94/100 renter HHs)2002: 29 filings (4.26/100 renter HHs)2003: 15 filings (2.20/100 renter HHs)2004: 18 filings (2.64/100 renter HHs)2005: 24 filings (2.88/100 renter HHs)2007: 22 filings (2.64/100 renter HHs)2008: 11 filings (1.32/100 renter HHs)2009: 26 filings (3.12/100 renter HHs)2010: 25 filings (3.59/100 renter HHs)2011: 6 filings (0.65/100 renter HHs)2012: 11 filings (1.18/100 renter HHs)2013: 15 filings (1.61/100 renter HHs)2014: 19 filings (2.04/100 renter HHs)2015: 15 filings (1.61/100 renter HHs)2016: 27 filings (3.09/100 renter HHs)2017: 18 filings (2.06/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Haines City

What moves this score most is economic stress at 7.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Haines City, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Polk County average of 5.0 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 320 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 2.4% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 4.3% of renter households in 2002.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012602?

Census tract 12105012602 in Haines City scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105012602?

Median gross rent is $1,148/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 37% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012602?

30.1% of residents in tract 12105012602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,409.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 75th, minority 87th, housing 99th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105012602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 320 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105012602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.39% of renter households, peaking at 4.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105012602 compare to Haines City overall?

Tract 12105012602 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Haines City at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Haines City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Haines City

Top eight tracts in Haines City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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