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Census Tract · Ranked #39,308 of 84,120 nationally

Haines City Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105012601 · Polk, FL · pop 7,036 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Haines City

Census tract 12105012601 covers part of Haines City, FL, and scores 4.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 15% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units2,637
Renter share27.2%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate26.4%
Median income$52,824

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Haines City
Very High
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#45 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#1,528 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#39,308 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Haines City and the region

Centroid at 28.1260, -81.6307 · click any tract to drill in

Why Haines City scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Haines City
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.4% poverty · this tract
6.6
Supply constraint
$1,346 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Haines City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Haines City
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Haines City
2.4

How Haines City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Haines City risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.6This tracttract 0126013.2Haines Cityparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 63

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 313Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 3.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.2%Peak (2003)
  • 19Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105012601
Filings climbed 27% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Haines City

Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.2/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 26%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Adults with no health insurance runs 23.3% against 11.3% nationally.

Court records carry 313 eviction filings across 17 observed years. Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.7 points. At $1,346 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Haines City commands.

The worst year on record was 2003, when 8.2% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 3.5% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 53rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $52,824.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012601?

Census tract 12105012601 in Haines City scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105012601?

Median gross rent is $1,346/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012601?

26.4% of residents in tract 12105012601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,036.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 53th, minority 82th, housing 43th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105012601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 313 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105012601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.46% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105012601 compare to Haines City overall?

Tract 12105012601 scores 4.6/10, higher than the parent city of Haines City at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Haines City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Haines City

Top eight tracts in Haines City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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