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Census Tract · Ranked #51,553 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Wales Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105014202 · Polk, FL · pop 2,977 · 16% of tract blocks fall in Lake Wales

Census tract 12105014202 covers Lake Wales, home to 2,977 residents. For landlords it grades 5.7/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,353 a month while the average household earns $68,929 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 26% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 12% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units1,214
Renter share26.2%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate5.4%
Median income$68,929

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 8 tracts In Lake Wales
Very Low
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#122 of 174 tracts In Polk
Low
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#2,476 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Moderate
National
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#51,553 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Wales and the region

Centroid at 27.9097, -81.5051 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Wales scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Wales
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.4% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,353 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Wales
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Wales
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Wales
8.9

How Lake Wales compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Wales risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.43.4This tracttract 014202Lake Wales: 2.62.6Lake Walesparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 144Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 4.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.5%Peak (2016)
  • 9Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050142022000: 3 filings (1.89/100 renter HHs)2001: 4 filings (2.52/100 renter HHs)2002: 7 filings (4.40/100 renter HHs)2003: 6 filings (3.77/100 renter HHs)2004: 12 filings (7.55/100 renter HHs)2005: 11 filings (4.85/100 renter HHs)2007: 10 filings (4.41/100 renter HHs)2008: 6 filings (2.64/100 renter HHs)2009: 2 filings (0.88/100 renter HHs)2010: 7 filings (3.63/100 renter HHs)2011: 7 filings (3.98/100 renter HHs)2012: 8 filings (4.55/100 renter HHs)2013: 9 filings (5.11/100 renter HHs)2014: 10 filings (5.68/100 renter HHs)2015: 15 filings (8.52/100 renter HHs)2016: 18 filings (8.49/100 renter HHs)2017: 9 filings (4.25/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 200% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Wales

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Wales, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 144 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 4.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.5% of renter households in 2016.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105014202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014202?

Census tract 12105014202 in Lake Wales scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105014202?

Median gross rent is $1,353/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014202?

5.4% of residents in tract 12105014202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,977.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 73th, household 91th, minority 40th, housing 18th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105014202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 144 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105014202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.54% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105014202 compare to Lake Wales overall?

Tract 12105014202 scores 3.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lake Wales at 2.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Wales; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Wales

Top eight tracts in Lake Wales ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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