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Census Tract · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Wales Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105015500 · Polk, FL · pop 4,378 · 80% of tract blocks fall in Lake Wales

12105015500 is a census tract in Lake Wales, FL. It scores 5.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,378. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 28% Owners 43%
Tract context
Occupied units1,813
Renter share56.9%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate33.7%
Median income$36,555

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 8 tracts In Lake Wales
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 174 tracts In Polk
Very High
Within state
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#360 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
National
73 th percentile
Rank, 73rd percentileLowHigh
#22,681 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Wales and the region

Centroid at 27.8848, -81.5788 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Wales scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Wales
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
33.7% poverty · this tract
8.4
Supply constraint
$943 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Wales
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Wales
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Wales
8.9

How Lake Wales compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Wales risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 0155004.2Lake Walesparent city3.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 96

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 726Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 4.84%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.3%Peak (2008)
  • 28Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105015500
Filings dropped 39% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Wales

The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 34%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.7 points. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 26.1% against 11.3% nationally.

Disability prevalence runs 44.4% against 31.5% nationally. Against Polk County at 45.8%, 51% of renters here are cost-burdened. Court records carry 726 eviction filings across 17 observed years.

At $943 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Lake Wales commands. Filings peaked in 2008 at 6.3% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.8% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105015500

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105015500?

Census tract 12105015500 in Lake Wales scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105015500?

Median gross rent is $943/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105015500?

33.7% of residents in tract 12105015500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,378.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105015500?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 98th, minority 70th, housing 89th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105015500?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 726 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105015500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.84% of renter households, peaking at 6.3% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105015500 compare to Lake Wales overall?

Tract 12105015500 scores 5.6/10, higher than the parent city of Lake Wales at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Wales; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Wales

Top eight tracts in Lake Wales ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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