Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Wales Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12105014402 · Polk, FL · pop 1,001 · 19% of tract blocks fall in Lake Wales
Tract 12105014402 sits in Lake Wales, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.5/10. It is home to 1,001 residents. Against Polk County at 45.8%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units506
Renter share19.2%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$30,066
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
National
72
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Wales and the region
Centroid at 27.8852, -81.6282 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Wales scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Wales
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$778 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Wales
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Wales
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Wales
8.9
How Lake Wales compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 32%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 46%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Wales
The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10. Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, housing-court posture reads 8.9/10. Average gross rent is $778, 30% below the Lake Wales average. It sits 1.6 points above the Polk County average of 3.9.
The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.8% against 11.3% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 72nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.1/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12105014402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014402?
Census tract 12105014402 in Lake Wales scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12105014402?
Median gross rent is $778/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014402?
21.9% of residents in tract 12105014402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,001.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 32th, minority 66th, housing 46th.
Q5
How does tract 12105014402 compare to Lake Wales overall?
Tract 12105014402 scores 5.5/10, higher than the parent city of Lake Wales at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Wales; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Wales
Top eight tracts in Lake Wales ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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