Census Tract · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally

Poinciana Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105012513 · Polk, FL · pop 4,964 · 98% of tract blocks fall in Poinciana

12105012513 is a census tract in Poinciana, FL. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,964. 71% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

3.2

Lower

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 0% Owners 99%

Tract context

Occupied units2,998

Renter share1.5%

SVI overall0.13

Poverty rate7.8%

Median income$70,375

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Poinciana and the region

Centroid at 28.1204, -81.5039 · click any tract to drill in

Why Poinciana scores 3.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Poinciana

4.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

7.8% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

tract rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Poinciana

9.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.4

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Poinciana

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Poinciana

7.8

How Poinciana compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 13

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

21%Socioeconomic
51%Household composition
47%Racial/ethnic minority
3%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Poinciana

Cost burden runs 71% here against 45.8% across Polk County. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.2/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Against the Polk County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

Nationally it ranks #63,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 2% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.1/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012513

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012513?

Census tract 12105012513 in Poinciana scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012513?

7.8% of residents in tract 12105012513 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,964.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012513?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 13th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 51th, minority 47th, housing 3th.

How does tract 12105012513 compare to Poinciana overall?

Tract 12105012513 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of Poinciana at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Poinciana eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Poinciana

Top eight tracts in Poinciana ranked by composite eviction-risk score.