Census Tract · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Wales Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105014303 · Polk, FL · pop 3,741 · 68% of tract blocks fall in Lake Wales

Census tract 12105014303 covers part of Lake Wales, FL, and scores 3.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,741. Severe burden reaches 36%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

3.9

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 18% Owners 71%

Tract context

Occupied units1,299

Renter share29.6%

SVI overall0.39

Poverty rate12.2%

Median income$69,972

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Wales and the region

Centroid at 27.9274, -81.5656 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Wales scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Lake Wales

4.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.3

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

12.2% poverty · this tract

3.1

Supply constraint

$968 rent vs county FMR

2.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Lake Wales

9.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Lake Wales

8.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Lake Wales

8.9

How Lake Wales compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 39

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

37%Socioeconomic
70%Household composition
66%Racial/ethnic minority
19%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Wales

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.9/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Cost burden runs 38% here against 45.8% across Polk County. Average gross rent is $968, 13% below the Lake Wales average. That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $69,972, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Polk County average of 3.9 closely. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105014303

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105014303?

Census tract 12105014303 in Lake Wales scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12105014303?

Median gross rent is $968/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105014303?

12.2% of residents in tract 12105014303 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,741.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105014303?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 70th, minority 66th, housing 19th.

How does tract 12105014303 compare to Lake Wales overall?

Tract 12105014303 scores 3.9/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Wales at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Wales; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Wales

Top eight tracts in Lake Wales ranked by composite eviction-risk score.