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Census Tract · Ranked #32,735 of 84,120 nationally

Lakeland Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105011202 · Polk, FL · pop 1,914

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12105011202 (Lakeland, Florida) comes in at 4.6/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 26% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,511 a month against an average household income of $38,500 a year, roughly 47% of income at the averages. About 29% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 14% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units636
Renter share28.6%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate14.4%
Median income$38,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 39 tracts In Lakeland
Elevated
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#50 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#1,095 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
61 th percentile
Rank, 61st percentileLowHigh
#32,735 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakeland and the region

Centroid at 28.0588, -81.9649 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lakeland scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
14.4% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,511 rent vs county FMR
6.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lakeland
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lakeland
2.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lakeland
2.5

How Lakeland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lakeland risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 011202Lakeland: 2.52.5Lakelandparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 923Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 14.90%Avg annual filing rate
  • 29.7%Peak (2003)
  • 23Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050112022000: 29 filings (6.53/100 renter HHs)2001: 28 filings (6.31/100 renter HHs)2002: 49 filings (11.04/100 renter HHs)2003: 132 filings (29.73/100 renter HHs)2004: 112 filings (25.23/100 renter HHs)2005: 106 filings (28.19/100 renter HHs)2007: 70 filings (18.62/100 renter HHs)2008: 65 filings (17.29/100 renter HHs)2009: 73 filings (19.41/100 renter HHs)2010: 32 filings (7.67/100 renter HHs)2011: 52 filings (17.81/100 renter HHs)2012: 51 filings (17.47/100 renter HHs)2013: 30 filings (10.27/100 renter HHs)2014: 24 filings (8.22/100 renter HHs)2015: 23 filings (7.88/100 renter HHs)2016: 24 filings (11.06/100 renter HHs)2017: 23 filings (10.60/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lakeland

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at 6.3/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Polk County average of 5.0 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 923 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 14.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 29.7% of renter households in 2003.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 94th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105011202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105011202?

Census tract 12105011202 in Lakeland scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105011202?

Median gross rent is $1,511/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105011202?

14.4% of residents in tract 12105011202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,914.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105011202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 92th, minority 93th, housing 93th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105011202?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 923 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105011202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.90% of renter households, peaking at 29.7% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105011202 compare to Lakeland overall?

Tract 12105011202 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Lakeland at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lakeland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lakeland

Top eight tracts in Lakeland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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