Sherwood Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

Against a Riverdale baseline of 33.5%, 64% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.9/10. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. 18.6% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. SNAP participation is 29.4% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 2.1/10. Court records carry 4,863 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts.

The worst year on record was 2008, when filings touched 129.3% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 35.8% in 2016, is well off that peak. Among the 11 mapped neighborhoods of Riverdale, it ranks #4 by risk, the middle third.

For a like-for-like read, Frog Hollow and Quail Valley score within a fraction of it. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

With little internal variation, 5.1/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.