Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Village at Watervale Eviction Risk: Lower , Evans
Tract 13073030107 ·
Columbia County, GA · pop 3,579 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
13073030107 is a census tract in the Village at Watervale area of Evans, GA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,579. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%Stable renters 4%Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units1,156
Renter share5.5%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate1.6%
Median income$158,333
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 2 tracts In Village at Watervale
Very High
Within parent city
0th percentile
#7 of 7 tracts In Evans
Very Low
Within county
4th percentile
#24 of 25 tracts In Columbia County
Very Low
Within state
24th percentile
#2,121 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Evans and the region
Centroid at 33.5563, -82.0758 · click any tract to drill in
Why Village at Watervale scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Evans
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
1.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,152 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Evans
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Evans
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Evans
5.0
How Village at Watervale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
22%Socioeconomic
36%Household composition
52%Racial/ethnic minority
10%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Village at Watervale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.8%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
7.4%Food insecurity
4.7%SNAP enrollment
4.5%Transit barriers
6.6%No health insurance
13.0%Frequent mental distress
19.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Village at Watervale
The voucher gap is 83.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Average gross rent is $2,152, 33% above the Evans average.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.5/10. 28% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Columbia County average of 36.6%. SNAP participation runs 4.7% against 15.2% nationally.
Against the Columbia County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points. Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.5/10.
Against average income of $158,333, annual rent is just 16%.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 13073030107
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13073030107?
Census tract 13073030107 in the Village at Watervale neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13073030107?
Median gross rent is $2,152/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13073030107?
1.6% of residents in tract 13073030107 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,579.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13073030107?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 36th, minority 52th, housing 10th.
Q5
Is tract 13073030107 considered part of Village at Watervale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13073030107 fall within Village at Watervale (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 13073030107 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 13073030107 compare to Evans overall?
Tract 13073030107 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Evans at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Evans eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Evans
Top eight tracts in Evans ranked by composite eviction-risk score.