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Neighborhood · Lawrenceville, GA

Forest East Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 5,240 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6/10 · range 6–6

Forest East is a one-tract neighborhood of Lawrenceville, GA and houses 5,240 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Against a Lawrenceville baseline of 37.1%, 56% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

Severe burden reaches 34%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 8.7/10.

On the high side is housing-court posture at 8/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. The filing record is not thin: 1,083 evictions logged in this tract.

20.5% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 18.0% of renter households.

Recent filings have not receded much: 16.2% in 2016 against a 18.0% peak. At $1,486 a month, rents sit 8% under what the rest of Lawrenceville commands. That places it #1 of 17 neighborhoods in Lawrenceville.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 6/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Forest East vs Lawrenceville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
56.0% +51%
Lawrenceville: 37.1%
Average gross rent
$1,486 -8%
Lawrenceville: $1,613
Average HH income
$44,417 -24%
Lawrenceville: $58,606
Poverty rate
21.1% +23%
Lawrenceville: 17.2%
Renter share
50.2% -5%
Lawrenceville: 53.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Forest East and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6–6

Why Forest East scores 6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.9–5.9 across tracts
5.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.3–2.3 across tracts
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
50% renter households · Range 9.2–9.2 across tracts
9.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Economic stress
21.1% below poverty line · Range 5.3–5.3 across tracts
5.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Forest East vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Forest East score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.0Forest EastNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city4.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Forest East

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
13135050522 6 5,240 56% $1,486
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 98

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 88%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 99%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 82%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 94%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Forest East

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,083Total filings (sum)
  • 15.59%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.0%Peak year (2015)
  • 16.24%Latest filed (2016)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 612Total filings 2020-21
  • 8.1Avg monthly observed
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Atlanta, GA).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Forest East

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Forest East

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Forest East?

Forest East scores 6/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Forest East compare to Lawrenceville overall?

Forest East scores 1.4 points higher than Lawrenceville overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $1,486 vs $1,613.
Q3

What is the average rent in Forest East?

Average gross rent in Forest East is $1,486/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Forest East residents are renters?

50% of Forest East households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Lawrenceville). The neighborhood has 5,240 residents.
Q5

Is Forest East a high social-vulnerability area?

Forest East sits in the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Forest East for landlords?

Forest East carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lawrenceville as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Forest East?

Forest East has 5,297 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (29.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (28.6%), Hispanic / Latino (21.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Forest East

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lawrenceville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Forest East.

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