Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
The Downs Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lawrenceville
Tract 13135050580 · Gwinnett County, GA · pop 3,854 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 13135050580 sits in the The Downs area of Lawrenceville eviction risk, GA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.5/10. Population here is 3,854. Cost burden runs 84% here against 52.0% across Gwinnett County.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 2%
Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,325
Renter share10.2%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate11.4%
Median income$99,063
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
37
th percentile
Low
Within county
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
64
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lawrenceville and the region
Centroid at 33.9103, -83.9894 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Downs scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lawrenceville
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
11.4% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$2,629 rent vs county FMR
9.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lawrenceville
8.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lawrenceville
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lawrenceville
8.0
How The Downs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 51%Socioeconomic
- 85%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 12%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 169Total filings 2020-21
- 2.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Atlanta, GA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 16.0%Housing insecurity
- 9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 18.0%Food insecurity
- 13.3%SNAP enrollment
- 9.4%Transit barriers
- 13.5%No health insurance
- 15.5%Frequent mental distress
- 27.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Downs
At $2,629 a month, rents run 63% over what the rest of Lawrenceville commands. The voucher gap is 43.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.7/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 9.4/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.2/10.
The severe-burden share is 16%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 10% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Gwinnett County average of 4.1 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 13135050580
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13135050580?
Census tract 13135050580 in the The Downs neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13135050580?
Median gross rent is $2,629/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 84% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13135050580?
11.4% of residents in tract 13135050580 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,854.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13135050580?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 85th, minority 85th, housing 12th.
Q5
Is tract 13135050580 considered part of The Downs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13135050580 fall within The Downs (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 13135050580 struggle to pay rent?
About 16.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 13135050580 compare to Lawrenceville overall?
Tract 13135050580 scores 4.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Lawrenceville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lawrenceville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lawrenceville
Top eight tracts in Lawrenceville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · GA
Regal Estates
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Forest East
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Forest River
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Kensington Park
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Jackson Township
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Timber Gate
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Wynfield
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · GA
Hanarry Estates
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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