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Neighborhood · Gainesville, GA

Lanier Northwest Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,244 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.2/10 · range 4.2–4.2

Lanier Northwest maps to a single census tract in Gainesville, GA and houses 4,244 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 4.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 55% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Gainesville rate of 34.5%.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 1.5/10. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.9/10.

The severe-burden share is 13%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. That places it #19 of 21 neighborhoods in Gainesville.

Only 19% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. For a like-for-like read, Green Street-Brenau Historic District and Westgate score within a fraction of it.

Against average income of $102,159, annual rent is only 15%, a wide affordability cushion. Average gross rent runs $1,275, close to the Gainesville average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 4.2/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lanier Northwest vs Gainesville How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.5% +58%
Gainesville: 34.5%
Average gross rent
$1,275 -2%
Gainesville: $1,299
Average HH income
$102,159 +58%
Gainesville: $64,636
Poverty rate
14.8% -24%
Gainesville: 19.6%
Renter share
18.7% -69%
Gainesville: 60.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lanier Northwest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.2–4.2

Why Lanier Northwest scores 4.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.0–2.0 across tracts
2.0
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 2.8–2.8 across tracts
2.8
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 1.5–1.5 across tracts
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
19% renter households · Range 9.6–9.6 across tracts
9.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Economic stress
14.8% below poverty line · Range 3.7–3.7 across tracts
3.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Risk score comparison

Lanier Northwest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lanier Northwest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.2Lanier NorthwestNeighborhood4.6Parent cityhost city4.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Lanier Northwest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
13139000307 4.2 4,244 55% $1,275
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 47

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 66%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 35%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 39%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 30%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lanier Northwest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lanier Northwest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lanier Northwest?

Lanier Northwest scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lanier Northwest compare to Gainesville overall?

Lanier Northwest scores 0.4 points lower than Gainesville overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,275 vs $1,299.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lanier Northwest?

Average gross rent in Lanier Northwest is $1,275/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lanier Northwest residents are renters?

19% of Lanier Northwest households are renter-occupied (vs 61% in Gainesville). The neighborhood has 4,244 residents.
Q5

Is Lanier Northwest a high social-vulnerability area?

Lanier Northwest sits in the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Lanier Northwest for landlords?

Lanier Northwest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Gainesville as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Lanier Northwest?

Lanier Northwest has 4,700 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.2%), Hispanic / Latino (19.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (2.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lanier Northwest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Gainesville

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lanier Northwest.

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