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Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Lanier Northwest Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gainesville

Tract 13139000307 · Hall County, GA · pop 4,244 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Tract 13139000307 sits in the Lanier Northwest area of Gainesville eviction risk, GA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. It is home to 4,244 residents. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 8% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,601
Renter share18.7%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate14.8%
Median income$102,159

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Lanier Northwest
Moderate
Within parent city
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#23 of 26 tracts In Gainesville
Very Low
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#28 of 50 tracts In Hall County
Moderate
Within state
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#1,207 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gainesville and the region

Centroid at 34.3471, -83.9254 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lanier Northwest scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gainesville
3.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
2.8
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
14.8% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,275 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gainesville
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gainesville
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gainesville
7.9

How Lanier Northwest compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lanier Northwest risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0003074.6Gainesvilleparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 47

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lanier Northwest

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9/10. 55% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Hall County average of 44.6%. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10.

The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent consumes only 15% of average household income of $102,159, an unusually wide affordability cushion. It tracks the Hall County average of 4.3 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,275, close to the Gainesville average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 13139000307

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13139000307?

Census tract 13139000307 in the Lanier Northwest neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 13139000307?

Median gross rent is $1,275/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 13139000307?

14.8% of residents in tract 13139000307 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,244.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 13139000307?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 35th, minority 39th, housing 30th.
Q5

Is tract 13139000307 considered part of Lanier Northwest?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13139000307 fall within Lanier Northwest (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 13139000307 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 13139000307 compare to Gainesville overall?

Tract 13139000307 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of Gainesville at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville

Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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