Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Kaneohe Base Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 15003981700 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 3,557 · 96% of tract blocks fall in Kaneohe Base

Tract 15003981700 sits in Kaneohe Base eviction risk, HI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.5/10. Population here is 3,557. The severe-burden share is 57%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 73% Stable renters 26% Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units733
Renter share98.9%
SVI overall0.33
Poverty rate12.9%
Median income$56,576

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Kaneohe Base
Very High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
High
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#69 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
High
National
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#10,320 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Kaneohe Base and the region

Centroid at 21.4484, -157.7626 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kaneohe Base scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Kaneohe Base
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
12.9% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$3,105 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kaneohe Base
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kaneohe Base
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kaneohe Base
7.1

How Kaneohe Base compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kaneohe Base risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.5This tracttract 9817006.1Kaneohe Baseparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 33

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kaneohe Base

74% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Honolulu County average of 50.9%. Set annual rent against average income of $56,576 and the ratio lands at 66%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10.

99% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.6/10.

Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. It sits 1.5 points above the Honolulu County average of 6.0.

The voucher gap is 15.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $3,105 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Kaneohe Base commands.

That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003981700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003981700?

Census tract 15003981700 in Kaneohe Base scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003981700?

Median gross rent is $3,105/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003981700?

12.9% of residents in tract 15003981700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,557.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003981700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 33th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 7th, minority 54th, housing 38th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 15003981700 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 15003981700 compare to Kaneohe Base overall?

Tract 15003981700 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Kaneohe Base at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kaneohe Base eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Kaneohe Base

Top eight tracts in Kaneohe Base ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related