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Census Tract · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Kaneohe Base Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 15003981803 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 3,401

Census tract 15003981803 covers part of Kaneohe Base, HI, and scores 7.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,401 residents. The severe-burden share is 77%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 87% Stable renters 8% Owners 5%
Tract context
Occupied units365
Renter share95.6%
SVI overall0.24
Poverty rate5.5%
Median income$46,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Kaneohe Base
Elevated
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#87 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Elevated
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#95 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
High
National
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#11,988 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Kaneohe Base and the region

Centroid at 21.4369, -157.7455 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kaneohe Base scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Kaneohe Base
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
5.5% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$3,098 rent vs county FMR
6.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kaneohe Base
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kaneohe Base
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kaneohe Base
7.1

How Kaneohe Base compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kaneohe Base risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.2This tracttract 9818036.1Kaneohe Baseparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 24

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kaneohe Base

Cost burden runs 91% here against 50.9% across Honolulu County. Annualized rent equals 80% of average household income of $46,250, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10. This is renter territory: 96% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.6/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Honolulu County average of 6.0.

The voucher gap is 15.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. At $3,098 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Kaneohe Base commands. Nationally it ranks #11,988 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003981803

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003981803?

Census tract 15003981803 in Kaneohe Base scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003981803?

Median gross rent is $3,098/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 91% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003981803?

5.5% of residents in tract 15003981803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,401.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003981803?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 24th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 7th, minority 57th, housing 22th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 15003981803 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 15003981803 compare to Kaneohe Base overall?

Tract 15003981803 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Kaneohe Base at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kaneohe Base eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Kaneohe Base

Top eight tracts in Kaneohe Base ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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