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Carey, Idaho eviction risk overview
City brief · 1,196 residents

Carey, ID Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Blaine County · Population 1,196

In 2026
Risk score
4.0
MODERATE

74th percentile, Idaho.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 — 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.8 Average2.6 Now4.0
10 5 1976 · score 2.1 1977 · score 2.2 1978 · score 2.2 1979 · score 2.2 1980 · score 2.0 1981 · score 2.0 1982 · score 2.0 1983 · score 1.9 1984 · score 1.9 1985 · score 1.9 1986 · score 1.9 1987 · score 1.9 1988 · score 2.3 1989 · score 2.3 1990 · score 2.4 1991 · score 2.4 1992 · score 2.8 1993 · score 2.8 1994 · score 2.9 1995 · score 2.9 1996 · score 2.8 1997 · score 2.8 1998 · score 2.8 1999 · score 2.8 2000 · score 1.8 2001 · score 1.9 2002 · score 1.9 2003 · score 1.9 2004 · score 2.2 2005 · score 2.2 2006 · score 2.2 2007 · score 2.3 2008 · score 2.9 2009 · score 2.9 2010 · score 3.0 2011 · score 3.0 2012 · score 2.6 2013 · score 2.7 2014 · score 2.7 2015 · score 2.8 2016 · score 3.0 2017 · score 3.1 2018 · score 3.2 2019 · score 3.3 2020 · score 3.8 2021 · score 3.8 2022 · score 3.8 2023 · score 3.8 2024 · score 3.6 2025 · score 4.0 2026 · score 4.0

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 7.2 Regional 7.2 State 1.6 Economic 5.7 Supply 5.4 Rent Control 2.3 Eviction 1.3 Tenant 5.2 Housing 2.9 4.0 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +31.7% (2024)
    7.2
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    7.2
  3. State political climate
    Idaho legislature & governorship
    1.6
  4. Economic stress
    5.7% poverty · 7.2% unemp.
    5.7
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,063 average · 28.4% renters
    5.4
  6. Rent Control risk
    21.7% of income on rent
    2.3
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    22 days filing → judgment
    1.3
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    28.4% renters
    5.2
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    2.9
Geographic context

Risk heat across Carey and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Carey compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Blaine County
Elevated
#3 of 7 cities
Rank in county — 67th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 7 cities in Blaine County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Idaho
Elevated
#68 of 236 cities
Rank in state — 72th percentileBottomTop
#68 of 236 cities in Idaho for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Carey risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Carey: 4.04.0CareyThis cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 4.0
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 4.0/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a slow, steady climb.

    50-yr trend+1.9 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steady ratchet · no large swings

  2. 22d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,063/mo. A contested eviction takes 22 days and costs $934–$2,447 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 28.4%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 1,196 residents, 28.4% rent. 22% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 5.7% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 7.2
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 7.2 and 7.2 (Dem margin +31.7% (2024)). State climate at 1.6 — mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 1.6
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 1.6/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies — and shows up in process. Eviction process difficulty reads 1.3, housing court bias 2.9, rent-control risk 2.3. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-3.7 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.7
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.7. Supply constraint: 5.4. The numbers behind those: 5.7% poverty, 7.2% unemployment, 22% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Carey sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 20d 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Boise City, ID · 23d · ~$1.6k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.0 Boise City Meridian, ID · 23d · ~$1.8k all-in ($77/day) · score 2.4 Meridian Nampa, ID · 22d · ~$1.6k all-in ($71/day) · score 2.7 Nampa Idaho Falls, ID · 23d · ~$1.6k all-in ($69/day) · score 2.0 Idaho Falls Caldwell, ID · 23d · ~$1.6k all-in ($70/day) · score 2.9 Caldwell Pocatello, ID · 23d · ~$1.8k all-in ($78/day) · score 3.0 Pocatello Coeur d'Alene, ID · 25d · ~$1.5k all-in ($60/day) · score 4.5 Coeur d'Alene Twin Falls, ID · 23d · ~$1.5k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.2 Twin Falls Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.4 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.7 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.2 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.9 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.8 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 7.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.2 Seattle Carey
Carey · 22d · ~$1.7k all-in ($77/day) · score 4.0 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Carey, ID

Landlording in Carey, Idaho, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.0/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above — covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Carey is a city of 1,196 residents where 28.4% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 21.7% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,063/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing — a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Carey eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 1.3/10 — a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Carey closes 22 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Carey's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 2.9/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Carey runs $934 to $2,447 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice — common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 22 days of typical timeline and $1,063/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 5.2/10 in Carey, and the city has limited rent control exposure (2.3/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5–3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks — but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Idaho, deposit cap and refund window are statute — exceed at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Carey: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one — retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Idaho's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $2,447 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Carey

Trap · 2.3/10
Comparative benchmarking matters in markets like this. Carey's 4.0/10 is below the Idaho state average. Rent-control-risk sub-score: 2.3/10. See the nearby cities grid below for direct A-vs-B comparison.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the absolute fastest I can get a tenant out for non-payment in Carey?

The fastest practical timeline starts with a 3-day pay-or-quit notice. If they don't comply, you file for eviction. A court hearing could be scheduled within a week or two, and if you win, a Writ of Restitution could be issued shortly after. You're looking at roughly 2-3 weeks from serving notice to sheriff lockout in the best-case, uncontested scenario. The typical timeline is 22 days.

Q2

Can I really keep the entire security deposit if a tenant trashes my place?

Yes, you can deduct from the security deposit for actual damages beyond normal wear and tear, and for unpaid rent or cleaning costs. You must provide an itemized list of deductions within 21 days of the tenant moving out. Keep detailed records and photos of the damage. If the damages exceed the deposit, you can pursue the tenant in small claims court, but collecting can be difficult.

Q3

Do I need a lawyer for every eviction in Carey?

You are not legally required to have a lawyer for an eviction in Idaho. However, for most landlords, especially those with limited experience, hiring an attorney is highly recommended. They ensure proper procedure, handle court filings, and represent your interests, significantly reducing the risk of errors that could delay or even lose your case. Consider it an investment to protect your property and time.

Q4

What if my tenant refuses to leave after the sheriff serves the Writ of Restitution?

Once the Writ of Restitution is issued and served by the sheriff, the tenant no longer has a legal right to be on the property. If they refuse to leave, the sheriff will physically remove them. This is not your responsibility to enforce; it's the sheriff's. Do not attempt to remove them yourself. That's where you get into legal trouble.

Q5

Is "cash for keys" a legitimate option here?

Absolutely. "Cash for keys" is a completely legitimate and often smart strategy in Carey. You offer a tenant a sum of money in exchange for them voluntarily moving out by a specific date, leaving the property clean and signing a mutual termination agreement. It avoids the time, stress, and cost of a formal eviction. Always get the agreement in writing.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 4.0/10 places Carey in the 74th percentile of Idaho cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1–10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has climbed steadily since 1976 — a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.